Saturday, February 9, 2013

Iraq's Maliki: Assad could hold on for years

RIYADH (Reuters) - Syrian President Bashar al-Assad could survive two more years of revolt despite U.S. expectations of a more imminent fall, Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki was quoted as saying on Saturday.

Maliki, a Shi'ite Muslim, is seen as close to Assad's main ally Iran, but has been careful not to express support for either the Syrian leader, fighting a rebellion since early 2011, or the predominantly Sunni opposition.

In an interview in Cairo with the Saudi-owned, London-based Asharq al-Awsat, Maliki said U.S. President Barack Obama, Vice President Joe Biden and former secretary of state Hillary Clinton had told him Assad would fall "within two months".

He did not say when he had spoken to them.

Maliki said Assad would not fall "even after two years."

"I know Syria very well," he said, adding that Assad's minority Alawite sect would fight alongside other minority groups against rebels, which include Sunni Islamist militants.

Iraq has been mired in sectarian strife for 10 years and Baghdad fears the rise of a hardline Sunni government in Damascus could upset its own fragile security.

(Reporting By Angus McDowall; Editing by Matthew Tostevin)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/iraqs-maliki-assad-could-hold-years-111027316.html

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Friday, February 8, 2013

Music Conservatory of Westchester Announces Open Enrollment for ...

Spring semester begins February 5?and welcomes new students throughout the season

Westchester County, N.Y. (February 6, 2013)?- Enrollment is now open for the Music Conservatory of Westchester?s (MCW) spring semester, where students are invited to learn and create music of all genres in a vibrant and nurturing setting. The community music school and performing arts campus includes an exciting array of programs for students of all ages and skill levels, from pre-school to seniors.?

Group and individual lessons in all instruments and voice are provided by 85 dedicated teachers, all of whom are widely accomplished in the arts. A wide variety of classical, jazz, vocal, and rock classes ? large and small ? are also available. The school?s youngest students enjoy Music Skills, an active learning class that gives kids a fun introduction to the fundamentals of music, as well as Suzuki instruction in violin, cello, flute, and guitar.

For children, teens, and adults with special needs, MCW?s Music Therapy Institute offers adapted music instruction and music therapy that addresses each student?s physical, emotional, social and cognitive well being, provided by board certified music therapists. ? ?

?Music is a gift you can give your child that will last forever, or one you can give yourself that will engage your mind and heart,? said Dr. Jean Newton, MCW?s Executive Director.? ?We have something here for everyone ? and if you?d like to try out one lesson before signing up for a full semester, we can arrange that.?

Founded in 1929, the Music Conservatory of Westchester today continues to be the largest music organization in the Westchester region, serving more than 2,500 students of all ages and abilities each year.? The school?s comprehensive programs include one-on-one instrumental instruction in all genres from classical to jazz and rock, music theory and composition, performing ensembles, young children?s classes and Suzuki instruction, programs for adults and senior citizens, and more than 100 recitals and performances each year.?

?Our students have many opportunities to perform in the community as well as in MCW?s professional recital hall, which will soon be equipped with state-of-the-art digital recording technology,? said Dr. Newton.? ?Students may choose to play music with others in bands and chamber ensembles, explore music theory or jazz improvisation, compose original music, sing in an ensemble, or discover their creativity in a drum group.? ?

Throughout its history, the Conservatory?s programs have proactively embraced everyone in the community regardless of age, background, ability or financial means.? Over $100,000 in scholarships is awarded annually to financially deserving students and the school?s Music Therapy Institute is the largest professional program in the region, working in partnership with 29 agencies at 65 sites. The Conservatory?s campus consists of a 36,000 square-foot fully renovated building, with 43 teaching studios, two dance studios, and a state-of-the-art recital hall and boasts The Steffi Nossen Dance School and Westchester Choral Society as residents in their building.? The Conservatory is accredited by the National Association of Schools of Music and is a member of the National Guild for Community Arts Education.

Source: http://larchmont.patch.com/announcements/music-conservatory-of-westchester-announces-open-enrollment-for-spring-classes-cdee0f8c

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Drop in alcohol-related deaths by nearly a third follows minimum alcohol price increase of 10 percent

Feb. 6, 2013 ? A new study made available online February 7 in Addiction shows that, between 2002 and 2009, the percentage of deaths caused by alcohol in British Columbia, Canada dropped more than expected when minimum alcohol price was increased, while alcohol-related deaths increased when more private alcohol stores were opened. The paper has significant implications for international alcohol policy.

The study was carried out by researchers from British Columbia, the westernmost province in Canada, using three categories of death associated with alcohol -- wholly alcohol attributable (AA), acute, and chronic, analysing death rates across the time period against increases in government set minimum prices of alcohol drinks.

The study was complicated by another provincial policy which allowed partial privatisation of alcohol retail sales, resulting in a substantial expansion of alcohol stores. Previously, alcohol could only be sold directly to the public in government owned stores, unlike in Europe where it is widely available in supermarkets, off-licences and petrol stations. The researchers therefore had to both control for the effects of the wider availability of alcohol, and assess what effect this measure had on mortality rates.

The major finding was that increased minimum alcohol prices were associated with immediate, substantial and significant reductions in wholly AA deaths:

  • A 10% increase in the average minimum price for all alcoholic beverages was associated with a 32% reduction in wholly AA deaths
  • Some of the effect was also detected up to a year after minimum price increases
  • Significant reductions in chronic and total AA deaths were detected between two and three years after minimum price increases
  • A 10% increase in private liquor stores was associated with a 2% increase in acute, chronic, and total AA mortality rates

This overall drop in deaths was more than expected, and disproportionate to the size of the minimum price increase -- a minimum price increase of 1% was associated with a mortality decline of more than 3%.

The authors suggest that the reason for the reduction in mortality is that increasing the price of cheaper drinks reduces the consumption of heavier drinkers who prefer these drinks. They note that other research has also suggested that impacts on some types of mortality may be delayed by one or two years after price increases.

Dr Tim Stockwell, director of the University of Victoria's Centre for Addictions Research of British Columbia and a lead author, said "This study adds to the scientific evidence that, despite popular opinion to the contrary, even the heaviest drinkers reduce their consumption when minimum alcohol prices increase. It is hard otherwise to explain the significant changes in alcohol-related deaths observed in British Columbia."

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The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Wiley.

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Journal Reference:

  1. Zhao J, Stockwell T, Martin G, Macdonald S, Vallance K, Treno A, Ponicki W, Tu A, and Buxton J. The relationship between changes to minimum alcohol prices, outlet densities and alcohol attributable deaths in British Columbia in 2002-2009. Addiction, 2013 DOI: 10.1111/add.12139

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: This article is not intended to provide medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. Views expressed here do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.

Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/top_news/top_health/~3/KCQbWobblDE/130207002026.htm

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After deadly fire, fears for Carnival in Brazil

SAO PAULO (AP) ? Just over a week since a nightclub fire killed nearly 240 revelers in southern Brazil, Carnival festivities hit full stride Friday, raising questions about the safety of those who will pack party spaces across the nation.

In the days following the deadly blaze at the Kiss club in the university town of Santa Maria, authorities across Brazil increased fire inspections and closed dozens of clubs in many major cities, mostly citing problems with the establishments' paperwork.

But most of the clubs have already reopened ? leading fire experts to say few changes were put in place to really improve safety for patrons.

"Certainly for Carnival, we'll still have many security problems in the clubs, because there is no possibility of having intense inspections in every corner of Brazil, and there was no time to have made necessary adaptations," said Telmo Brentano, an engineering professor in Porto Alegre, capital of the state where the Jan. 27 Kiss club fire took place.

Brentano, an activist for the creation of federal laws on fire safety and author of two books about fire safety engineering, said something positive may come from the blaze that killed 238 people before Brazil hosts the world's two biggest sporting events in the next three years.

"Things will certainly be better than they are today by the World Cup and the Olympics," he said. "The shock of the Santa Maria tragedy was so intense that now patrons of public establishments are more aware of dangers they may face if minimum fire safety standards aren't met. There really was a great awakening on the issue."

City and state officials in Sao Paulo, Brazil's biggest city, and Rio de Janeiro, the center of Carnival where about 500,000 tourists are expected to visit through Wednesday, declined to comment on the specifics of increased fire safety inspections in the past week. Fire officials in Rio de Janeiro said only that their goal is to carry out 40,000 inspections in 2013.

But Brentano and other fire experts said more inspections will mean little because of Brazil's lack of consistent fire laws. Each state enacts its own laws and cities can create their own as well ? and corruption at the state and local levels undermine the rules that do exist, the experts said.

Police say the Santa Maria fire started when a band performing at the club lit a small flare, which ignited flammable soundproofing foam on the ceiling. There was a near-total lack of emergency infrastructure in the club, such as a fire alarms, emergency lights or sprinkler systems. The club had just one working door, and its single fire extinguisher was faulty.

Such conditions are common across South America's largest nation, said Marcelo D'Amico, a native Brazilian fire protection engineer and founder of the League City, Texas-based consulting firm Orcus Fire Protection, who carries out work in Brazil.

D'Amico is not optimistic on the chances of Brazilian nightspots making great strides in fire protection before the 2014 World Cup and 2016 Olympics, let alone this year's Carnival.

"I am not talking about the new stadiums and buildings being built or renovated, but of the hundreds of thousands of places ? restaurants, nightclubs, theaters ? that people coming for the two events are going to fill to capacity and that will probably not have proper fire prevention measures in place," he said.

D'Amico said minimum safety features are largely lacking in Brazil, such as illuminated exit signs, sufficient emergency exits and sprinkler systems.

"I've been in high-rises in Brazil with no sprinklers or fire alarms," he said. "I looked for emergency exits and was scared out of my mind when I thought about what could happen if there was a fire."

He accused Brazilian construction companies and building owners of being less concerned with safety codes than with esthetics and budgets.

But D'Amico puts the main blame on politicians, who he said "turn a blind eye to the fact that legislation must be updated and inspectors must go into buildings to make sure fire prevention measures are in place."

The government must adopt a "hard-line fire prevention approach and determine what has to be done and set specific deadlines to make the needed changes," he said.

"The installation of proper fire prevention mechanisms ? sprinklers, alarms, exit doors ? costs a lot of money and building owners are not motivated by spending money. They are motivated by making money."

___

Associated Press writer Stan Lehman contributed to this report.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/deadly-fire-fears-carnival-brazil-062026670.html

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Thursday, February 7, 2013

Demi Lovato Talks Past Relationships: "I Was So Afraid of Being ...

Demi Lovato hasn't had the best luck when it comes to love. The X Factor judge, whose famous ex-boyfriends include Wilmer Valderrama and Joe Jonas, acknowledges her own shortcomings -- and her plans for improvement -- in the spring issue of the U.K.'s Cosmo on Campus.

PHOTOS: Demi Lovato's X Factor style

"I'm in a place where I can finally trust and love and be a better person for the man I am in a relationship with, instead of being a clingy girlfriend or getting jealous," the 20-year-old pop star tells the magazine. "It is very unhealthy when girls devote all of their time to a guy and forget their friends and family. I did that. I was always looking for distractions because I was so afraid of being alone."

The "Give Your Heart a Break" singer adds, "I have spent the last year focusing on myself and it's been incredible. More has come out of the past year than in my entire career so far, and I truly believe it was because I was taking care of myself and not focusing on guys."

PHOTOS: Demi Lovato through the years

Even so, Lovato admits she may have signed on for The X Factor sooner than she should have. (Fellow judges Britney Spears and L.A. Reid exited after season 2, and Lovato has not announced whether she will return for the talent competition's third season.)

VIDEO: Watch Demi Lovato's emotional "Skyscraper" performance

"I don't think I was ready when I started on the The X Factor. In an ideal situation I would have maybe waited a year or more," explains Lovato, who sought treatment for an eating disorder and depression in late 2010. "I dived into work really quickly and maybe that wasn't the best idea at the time, but the place I am in today is so much better than I could have ever imagined, so I'm really glad."

Source: http://www.usmagazine.com/celebrity-news/news/demi-lovato-talks-past-relationships-i-was-so-afraid-of-being-alone-201362

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Tunisia to shake-up government after assassination

A man cries at the ambulance carrying the body of Chokri Belaid after he was shot to death in Tunis, Wednesday, Feb. 6, 2013. The Tunisian opposition leader critical of the Islamist-led government and violence by radical Muslims was shot to death Wednesday ? the first political assassination in post-revolutionary Tunisia. The killing is likely to heighten tensions in the North African nation whose path from dictatorship to democracy so far has been seen as a model for the Arab world. (AP Photo/Amine Landoulsi)

A man cries at the ambulance carrying the body of Chokri Belaid after he was shot to death in Tunis, Wednesday, Feb. 6, 2013. The Tunisian opposition leader critical of the Islamist-led government and violence by radical Muslims was shot to death Wednesday ? the first political assassination in post-revolutionary Tunisia. The killing is likely to heighten tensions in the North African nation whose path from dictatorship to democracy so far has been seen as a model for the Arab world. (AP Photo/Amine Landoulsi)

FILE - In this Dec.29, 2010 file photo, Tunisian lawyer Chokri Belaid attends a press conference at the lawyers' Bar in Tunis. A Tunisian opposition party says Wednesday, Feb.6, 2013 its leader, who had criticized the Islamist-led government and violence by radical Muslims, has been shot to death outside his home. The Unified Democratic Nationalist Party says Chokri Belaid was shot as he left his house in the capital Tunis on Wednesday. Witnesses say he was taken to a nearby clinic and died.(AP Photo/Hassene Dridi, File )

Protesters gather on Tunis 'main avenue after a Tunisian opposition leader critical of the Islamist-led government was gunned down as he left home Wednesday, Feb.6, 2013. Chokri Belaid was gunned down as he left home in the first assassination in post-revolutionary Tunisia. The killing of Belaid, a 47-year-old lawyer, heightens tensions in the North African nation whose path from dictatorship to democracy has been seen as a model for the Arab world so far. (AP Photo/Hassene Dridi)

A man crosses the street as Tunisians demonstrate the killing of Chokri Belaid in Tunis, Wednesday, Feb.6, 2013. The Tunisian opposition leader critical of the Islamist-led government and violence by radical Muslims was shot to death Wednesday ? the first political assassination in post-revolutionary Tunisia. The killing is likely to heighten tensions in the North African nation whose path from dictatorship to democracy so far has been seen as a model for the Arab world. (AP Photo/Amine Landoulsi)

Protesters gather at the ambulance carrying the body of opposition leader Chokri Belaid in Tunis, Wednesday, Feb. 6, 2013. The Tunisian opposition leader critical of the Islamist-led government and violence by radical Muslims was shot to death Wednesday, the first political assassination in post-revolutionary Tunisia. The killing is likely to heighten tensions in the North African nation whose path from dictatorship to democracy so far has been seen as a model for the Arab world. (AP Photo/Amine Landoulsi)

(AP) ? Shaken by the assassination of a prominent leftist opposition leader that unleashed major protests, Tunisia's prime minister announced Wednesday that he would form a new government of technocrats to guide the country to elections "as soon as possible."

The decision by Prime Minister Hamadi Jebali was a clear concession to the opposition, which has long demanded a reshuffle of the Islamist-dominated government. It also came hours after the first assassination of a political leader in post-revolutionary Tunisia.

The killing of 48-year-old Chokri Belaid, a secularist and fierce critic of Ennahda, the moderate ruling Islamist party, marked an escalation in the country's political violence and sparked allegations of government negligence ? even outright complicity. It also bolstered fears that Tunisia's transition to democracy will be far more chaotic than originally hoped.

"This is a sad day that shook the country regardless of our differences," Jebali said in an address to the nation, whose capital city still smelled of the tear gas lobbed at protesters angry over the killing. "We are at a crossroads, and we will learn from it to make a peaceful Tunisia, secure and pluralist, where we may differ but not kill each other."

The ruling coalition, led by Jebali's Ennahda party, had been in stalled negotiations with opposition parties to expand the coalition and redistribute ministerial portfolios in an effort to calm the country's fractious politics. Elections had been expected for the summer, but an exact date depended on lawmakers finishing work on a new constitution.

Jebali said the new ministers in the technocratic government "would not belong to any party and its task would be limited to organizing elections as soon as possible with a neutral administration." The statement implied that Jebali would be leading the new government and that its selection was imminent.

Tunisians overthrew their long-ruling dictator Zine El Abidine Ben Ali in January 2011, kicking off a wave of pro-democracy uprisings across the Middle East and North Africa that have met with varying degrees of success.

With its relatively small, well-educated population of 10 million, Tunisia has been widely expected to have the best chance of successfully transitioning to democracy. Its first post-dictatorship election brought to power the moderate Islamists of Ennahda in a coalition with two secular parties.

With the fall of the country's secular dictatorship, however, hardline Islamist groups also have flourished and there have been a string of attacks by ultraconservative Muslims known as Salafis against arts, culture and people they deemed to be impious.

In the last few months, there also have appeared the Leagues to Protect the Revolution, groups that say they are fighting corruption and seeking out remnants of the Ben Ali regime.

But opposition leaders such as Belaid said the leagues have become Ennahda-backed goon squads that attacked opposition rallies. Last weekend saw a string of attacks against such meetings, including a rally held by Belaid's Popular Front in northern Tunisia.

Belaid, a lawyer, was shot four times point blank as he left his house in Tunis on Wednesday morning. He was taken to a nearby clinic where he died. His wife told French Radio RTL he was shot twice in the head, once in the neck and once in the heart.

"He died for the country. He died for democracy," Basma Belaid said. "He was threatened all the time," she added, holding Ennahda directly responsible for his death.

Belaid's funeral is scheduled for Friday and the family has said members of the ruling coalition will not be welcome.

As word of the assassination spread, demonstrators converged on the Interior Ministry in the center of the capital chanting anti-government slogans.

The scenes were reminiscent of the final days of Ben Ali as protesters surged down the tree-lined Bourguiba Avenue shouting "the people want the fall of the regime" and were met with volleys of tear gas and riot police.

At one point, the ambulance containing Belaid's body, surrounded by angry mourners, headed toward the ministry before it was driven off by tear gas.

By late afternoon, the center of the city was largely deserted and littered with stones, guarded by police armored vehicles and patrolled by a tank from the national guard. Knots of riot police chased protesters through the elegant downtown streets.

At least one policeman died in the clashes, the Interior Ministry said.

Protests flared across the rest of the country as well, with fierce clashes in the southern town of Gafsa and the coastal cities of Sousse and Monastir. Ennahda offices were also attacked in several towns, according to media reports.

Tunisian President Moncef Marzouki, a member of a secular party in the governing coalition, called the Belaid assassination a threat against all Tunisians in a speech before the European Parliament in Strasbourg before he rushed home, canceling a trip to Cairo.

"All these destabilization attempts ? and there will be others because for some the Tunisian model should not succeed ? I can tell you that we will face the challenge and defeat it," he told journalists.

The assassination also comes as Tunisia is struggling to revive its economy. On Monday, the central bank head, Chedli Ayari, said that while the country was on the road to recovery, the political squabbling had to be resolved to reassure foreign and Tunisian investors.

"This assassination is the gravest incident yet in a climate of mounting violence," said Eric Goldstein, deputy Middle East and North Africa director at Human Rights Watch. "Since Tunisia's revolution, there have been violent assaults against journalists, political activists, artists, and simple citizens, many of which the authorities did not investigate, let alone prosecute."

Several opposition parties suspended their participation in the constitutional assembly over the assassination and are now calling for a general strike, which could further inflame tensions. By Wednesday evening, however, they had yet to react to Jebali's announcement of a caretaker government.

Nejib Chebbi of the centrist Jomhouri Party warned prior to Jebali's announcement that other political figures could be targeted for assassination, and he called for the dissolution of the Leagues to Protect the Revolution.

The night before his death, Belaid had called for the dissolution of those leagues as well.

"There are groups inside Ennahda inciting violence," Belaid told the Nessma TV channel. He alleged that Ennahda leader "Rachid Ghannouchi considers the leagues to be the conscience of the nation, so the defense of the authors of violence is clear. All those who oppose Ennahda become the targets of violence."

Ennahda, however, has denied supporting any violence and promised an investigation into the assassination. Ghannouchi called Belaid's killing an "ignoble crime" and offered his condolences to his family.

As international condemnation of the assassination swiftly poured in, several countries expressed worry over the violence in Tunisia.

"There is no justification for an outrageous and cowardly act of violence like this," U.S. State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland told reporters. "There's no place in the new Tunisia for violence. We urge the government of Tunisia to conduct a fair, transparent and professional investigation to ensure the perpetrators are brought to justice, consistent with Tunisian and international law."

French President Francois Hollande also expressed worry. "This murder deprives Tunisia of one of its most courageous and free voices," he said in a statement.

_____

Schemm reported from Rabat. Associated Press writers Raf Casert in Strasbourg, Sarah DiLorenzo in Paris and Bradley Klapper in Washington contributed to this report.

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/3d281c11a96b4ad082fe88aa0db04305/Article_2013-02-06-Tunisia-Attack/id-435a7b8bfb734c9aa4bb30e7a92ee358

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8.0 Pacific quake: Are scientists underestimating 'superquakes'?

An 8.0 Pacific quake hit about 1,000 miles northeast of Australia tonight. Over the past half-century, three 9.0 or higher 'superquakes' have hit the Pacific's Ring of Fire, pushing scientists to rethink their models of earthquake formation.

By Becky Oskin,?Our Amazing Planet / February 5, 2013

Dr. Lucy Jones, senior advisor for risk reduction for the U.S. Geological Survey, describes how an early warning system would provide advance warning of an earthquake, at a CalTech news conference last week. An 8.0 earthquake struck the South Pacific tonight.

Reed Saxon/AP

Enlarge

The 8.0 Pacific quake that hit the Solomon Islands tonight should be about most powerful earthquake possible, according to seismologists' theories of earthquake cycles. And the earthquakes that rocked Tohoku, Japan in 2011, Sumatra in 2004, and Chile in 1960 ? all of magnitude 9.0 or greater ? should not have happened. That might mean earthquake prediction needs an overhaul, some researchers say.

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All these earthquakes struck along subduction zones, where two of Earth's tectonic plates collide and one dives beneath the other. Earlier earthquakes had released the pent-up strain along Chile's master fault, meaning no big quakes were coming, scientists had thought. Japan and Sumatra both sat above on old oceanic crust, thought to be too stiff for superquakes.

And records of past quakes, combined with measurements of the speed of Earth's tectonic plates, suggested the Tohoku and Sumatra-Andaman regions couldn't make quakes larger than 8.4, almost nine times smaller than a magnitude 9.0 temblor.

"These areas had been written off as places incapable of producing a great earthquake," said Chris Goldfinger, a marine geologist at Oregon State University in Corvallis.

But the events of 1960, 2004 and 2011 showed that these faults were capable of producing some of the most destructive earthquakes in recorded history, suggesting earthquake researchers need to re-think aspects of how they evaluate a fault's earthquake potential.

"It's time to come up with something new," Goldfinger told OurAmazingPlanet.

Faults are like batteries

When two tectonic plates collide, they build up strain where a fault sticks, or locks, together. Earthquakes release this strain, which is a form of energy.

For decades, scientists assumed faults acted like rubber bands, steadily building up strain and then releasing it all at once, Goldfinger said. The longer the time since the last earthquake, the larger the next earthquake would be, the model predicted.

The problem was researchers failed to recognize that faults can store energy like a battery, Goldfinger said. And just like batteries, they can discharge energy in small amounts, or all at once, he explained.

Goldfinger and other researchers now think if a "small" quake hits, it may not release all of the accumulated energy in a fault. (On a subduction zone, a small quake can still register in the magnitude-8.0 range, which is devastating to nearby cities.)

Thus, a fault can "borrow" stored energy from previous strain-building cycles, generating larger earthquakes than expected, such as those that hit Sumatra and Tohoku, Goldfinger and his colleagues propose in a study published in the January/February 2013 issue of the journal Seismological Research Letters.

"Those models were already being called into question when Sumatra drove one stake through their heart, and Tohoku drove the second one," said Goldfinger, the lead author of the study.

Source: http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/csm/~3/Jb9U4VHlBlw/8.0-Pacific-quake-Are-scientists-underestimating-superquakes

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